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Election Protection is WKSU鈥檚 community information initiative focused on access, policy and community resources around voting this November.

What Absentee Ballot Voting in the Ohio Primary Could Tell Us About the General Election

Statewide Ohio 2020 Primary Election ballot rejections
Eye on Ohio
Statewide Ohio 2020 Primary Election ballot rejections

Haley Belisle, a recent graduate of Ohio Northern University, was baffled this spring when the Hardin County Board of Elections rejected her application to vote absentee in the state鈥檚 presidential primary.

The problem was her signature on the application: It didn鈥檛 match her voter registration signature.

鈥淲hen I originally registered, I was just out of high school, and I apparently signed my name in a very curly cursive, which I don鈥檛 do any more,鈥 she said.

The 24-year-old got a new application and replicated the original style, she said, effectively 鈥渇orging my own signature.鈥

Belisle was able to cast her ballot.

That wasn鈥檛 the case for all potential voters in Ohio鈥檚 presidential primary.

This summer, Eye on Ohio set out to examine how many absentee ballot applications were rejected, why, and how voters could avoid those mistakes. The of millions of Ohio applications from the state鈥檚 88 counties revealed a patchwork and unreliable system for tracking the requests that makes it nearly impossible to accurately know how many voters, if any, were disenfranchised. It also called into question the accuracy of information collected by state election officials on rejected applications.

With only weeks until the 2020 presidential election, and lingering concerns about the novel coronavirus, voters are applying for absentee ballots at a record pace.

That, along with President Donald Trump鈥檚 attacks on the use of mail-in ballots, though not supported by research, could bring magnified attention to the process, especially in a swing state like Ohio where Trump and Sen. Joe Biden are swapping narrow leads in the polls.

Applications for mail-in ballots received relatively little attention in the past, as most fair election advocates concentrated efforts on whether absentee and provisional ballots were counted. Ohio is one of 34 states that allows any eligible voter to use mail-in voting. And the state is one of nine that mails applications for ballots to registered voters

The pandemic caused the number of domestic applications for absentee ballots to surge, amplifying the importance of this first step in the mail-in voting process. In the spring, the number of absentee votes cast was five times higher than the last presidential primary in 2016.

State and county officials have been aware of data collection issues for years but haven鈥檛 acted to fix them.

Simple questions, like the total number of absentee ballot applications for the 2020 primary, were hard to reconcile when Eye on Ohio examined:

  • Public reports released by state election officials;
  • Surveys submitted to the state by county boards of election;
  • 1.79 million individual records spread across 1,370 spreadsheets containing individual voter absentee ballot applications that state lawmakers in March required counties to submit to state officials daily.

In a baffling move, state election officials excluded the number of rejected absentee ballot applications when reporting the number of people who applied for a ballot.

County election officials reported to the state that they rejected as invalid 72,077 applications for absentee ballots for the 2020 primary, according to state election records obtained by Eye on Ohio.

That accounts for just over 4% of all absentee ballots requested. (For comparison, about 1.2 % of absentee ballots 鈥 鈥 cast by voters in the spring were tossed out.)

A deeper look at the application rejection numbers showed that they, too, are problematic.

Local election officials told Eye on Ohio they used different methods for reporting rejected or invalid applications.

Cuyahoga County rejected primary ballots
Eye on Ohio
/
Cuyahoga County Board of Elections
Cuyahoga County rejected primary ballots

Some counties, like Cuyahoga, provided the state with a total number of rejected applications. Others, like Hamilton, counted as invalid only applications where errors were not resolved or 鈥渃ured鈥 before the application deadline.

Many counties said they decided not to count applications that, for whatever reason, arrived late, an issue likely exacerbated by slowed U.S. Postal Service service delivery.

Ohio鈥檚 counties also did not have a standard way to track or report the reasons applications were rejected 鈥 and some counties didn鈥檛 track the reasons at all 鈥 though all said they kept the rejected applications on file.

A spokeswoman for Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose declined to answer specific questions about inconsistent absentee ballot application numbers.

What does that all mean for Ohio鈥檚 voters?

  • We don鈥檛 know how many voters in the first Ohio election with a majority mail-in vote tried 鈥 but failed 鈥 to get an absentee ballot to cast.
  • It is impossible to gauge whether counties applied the same standards to correcting application errors or rejecting ballot applications.
  • The same could be true for the 2020 presidential election, which is expected to be decided by an unprecedented number of absentee votes.

Counting Down

Ohio primary election absentee ballots statistics
Eye on Ohio
Ohio primary election absentee ballots statistics

Applications for mail-in ballots for the presidential election have soared in Ohio.

As of Sept. 22, Ohioans had submitted 1.8 million absentee ballot applications, far surpassing requests received months before previous presidential elections, according to LaRose鈥檚 office.

That trend began during the spring primary, when mail-in ballots accounted for 85% of the total votes cast, a 444% increase from the number of domestic absentee ballots cast in 2016, .

In the past, when the lion鈥檚 share of ballots was cast in-person, the gap between ballot applications and ballots sent to voters was negligible.

Ballot application information is highly sought after by political parties and campaigns to send campaign mailers and party slate cards to voters who request ballots, a technique called 鈥渁bsentee chase.鈥 It is also used now to help individual voters track applications (and later ballots) through the system.

Normally, during an election, the Secretary of State鈥檚 office gets information weekly on the number of absentee ballot applications submitted to local boards. During the extended presidential primary this year, Ohio lawmakers required the county boards to submit the information daily, though not all did.

Fully assessing ballot application records from all 88 county elections boards is so arduous that LaRose鈥檚 office doesn鈥檛 attempt it. It also doesn鈥檛 review the records for accuracy, spokeswoman Maggie Sheehan said in an email.

Instead, state election officials use a series of surveys filled out by county elections board officials to release its official post-election report that tallies the total number of votes cast and those counted, including an accounting of absentee or mail-in ballots and provisional ballots used when there鈥檚 a question about a voter鈥檚 eligibility.

The amount of absentee ballot applications received increasing over the months
Eye on Ohio
The amount of absentee ballot applications received increasing over the months

The office makes a habit of publicly sharing the number of ballot applications received before elections 鈥 but not sharing the number of invalid or rejected applications after the election.

LaRose鈥檚 office told Eye on Ohio that was to maintain consistency with past post-election releases.

His office declined to answer a litany of technical questions about the accuracy of the ballot application data it collected from the counties during the primary, insisting the counties were the 鈥渙wners鈥 of the data. That included instances where the state and individual counties provided Eye on Ohio with significantly different numbers of rejected ballot applications.

In multiple interviews with reporters, which a spokeswoman insisted be on background, state elections employees acknowledged that relying on inconsistent and incomparable application records was problematic.

LaRose鈥檚 office has blamed what of records collection as one of the problems contributing to a voter record system that the secretary of state has, in the past, characterized as 鈥渦nacceptably messy.鈥

Ohio鈥檚 balkanized elections data has caused headaches before, including in 2019, as the state carried out an effort to purge inactive voters from its roles. Not only were 鈥渄ata mistakes鈥 discovered that would have led to active voters being purged, but each county used a different process or set of standards for removing voters from its local list of eligible voters.

鈥淪ecretary LaRose has been on record stating he would like to reform Ohio鈥檚 voter registration system to be top-down,鈥 Maggie Sheenan, his press secretary said in an email.

The current system has persisted, in part, because there鈥檚 disagreement on whether to change it, said Aaron Ockerman, executive director of the bipartisan Ohio Association of Election Officials. Not for any nefarious reason, he said.

About 15 years ago, Ohio implemented a statewide voter registration database, a requirement of federal legislation called the Help America Vote Act, which also created the U.S. Elections Assistance Commission.

The federal government did not mandate a unified or 鈥渢op down鈥 system, and so the job of collecting Ohio鈥檚 election data has largely been left in the hands of county election officials.

After 15 years of discussion and debate, officials have been unable to reach a consensus about whether or not to change the system, Ockerman said.

鈥淎nd I am not sure we are any closer now,鈥 he said.

In general, most of the smaller counties do not want to give up managing their own data, Ockerman said, while larger counties are more open to using one system because they spend a lot of energy and money on data collection.

From the standpoint of individual voters, Ockerman said, boards are very responsive to helping track applications and ballots, and have advocated for the ability to reach voters to make corrections through phone calls and emails, when in the past they were limited to sending letters.

Ockerman acknowledges that there also has been 鈥済rowing pains鈥 when it comes to understanding at the county and state levels the nuances of the absentee ballot and application data and that problems or confusion can result from the disparate methods used to collect the information.

鈥淭his is not something that can鈥檛 stay under the rug for a lot longer,鈥 Ockerman said. 鈥淭here will be increasingly more attention.鈥

The lack of data also prevents assessments of how well the system is working statewide, which could lead to improvements in the voter experience, including quickly connecting the dots on issues that lead to application rejections. For instance, Ockerman said, many county elections boards have noticed that voters for the upcoming election have struggled with the design of applications provided by special interest groups, resulting in a higher number of invalid applications and more work for local elections officials to help voters correct them.

Clermont County's rejected primary absentee ballots
Eye on Ohio
Clermont County's rejected primary absentee ballots

The secretary of state鈥檚 office has not issued a directive to standardize the way counties collect the information about mail-in ballot requests. LaRose has issued other directives, including one in July to streamline the way counties can respond to invalid requests 鈥 using phone calls and email 鈥 for the presidential election and speed up the turnaround time for correcting application errors.

And, earlier this month, LaRose issued another order limiting county boards to provide only one dropbox per county for collecting absentee ballots. Though he personally supports offering more than one dropbox per county, LaRose said it would require a legal ruling or law change to do so. But a. 鈥淚t is his job to work with each board to address any local issue that significantly impacts voters in that county being able to cast their ballots,鈥 U.S. District Judge Dan Polster wrote.

What鈥檚 stopping LaRose from directing boards to use a consistent method for reporting invalid applications?

Sheehan didn鈥檛 respond to that question.

Different Rules

Each elections board is free to track its ballot applications in the manner it chooses 鈥 whether in a paper file, a handwritten list, an electronic spreadsheet or specialized software. The secretary of state鈥檚 .

There鈥檚 also no set way to track invalid or rejected applications, including the reason the application is rejected and whether a voter could be reached to fix the problem.

The Morrow County Board of Elections, for example, told Eye on Ohio that it kept no records of reasons absentee ballot applications were rejected.

鈥淲e rarely have applications rejected,鈥 Karen Cavendish, a board employee told Eye on Ohio in an email. 鈥淚f something is missing on the application, we track the voter down and get the application corrected so it can be processed.鈥 The county, which has more than 24,000 registered voters, reported that it didn鈥檛 receive a single invalid absentee ballot application for the spring primary.

Wood County, like many other smaller boards, said it keeps incomplete applications but could not share the reasons that 115 primary applications were rejected or how many were corrected.

Boards of elections reject ballot applications for many reasons, including those missing a signature or proper identification, like a driver鈥檚 license number or last four digits of a social security number. The boards also cannot send ballots if the voter doesn鈥檛 indicate which ballot they want: Republican, Democrat, Libertarian or one with only nonpartisan issues and local questions.

Tracking the path of ballot applications is further complicated because some elections boards correct flaws, such as a missing party affiliation, over the phone. Other issues, such as a missing signature, have to be corrected in person or with a fresh application.

Mismatching numbers

In many cases, information individual counties provided to Eye on Ohio did not match what they reported for numbers of 鈥渋nvalid鈥 ballot applications to state election officials for the spring primary.

Some counties, like Cuyahoga, tracked specific reasons that ballot applications were rejected, like having an invalid date of birth or not specifying a political party.

The Cuyahoga County Board of Elections reported to state election officials that it rejected 18,980 applications to vote in the spring primary, close to 9% of all applications. However, 11,847 of those voters corrected their applications or submitted new ones, according to data provided by the board, which left more than 7,133 applications that didn鈥檛 result in ballots being sent to potential voters or just over 3% of all applications.

Hamilton County, on the other hand, reported 4,432 invalid ballot applications or just under 3% of all applications the county received. That number does not include applications that initially had errors that were later corrected, said Sherry Poland, the director of elections. It also does not include more than 1,800 applications that arrived at the board after the application deadline passed that the county provided in response to an Eye on Ohio records request.

Ashland County's rejected absentee applications
Eye on Ohio
/
Ashland County Board of Elections
Ashland County's rejected absentee applications

Ashland County, with a little over 34,000 registered voters, tracked absentee ballot applications on a spreadsheet, noting the problem with the application, how the voter was contacted, the date a new application was mailed and whether a new application was returned. A spreadsheet provided to Eye on Ohio lists close to 160 invalid applications, with about 50 listed as 鈥渇ixed鈥 before the election. But the county reported a total of 58 invalid applications to state election officials.

The spreadsheet is akin to 鈥渘otes鈥 and may not include problems with applications that were corrected after the application deadline, Ashley Jones, deputy director of the board, said in an email.

Jones said the official number the board reported to the state comes from a bi-partisan count of the paper file of rejected applications.

Two other issues complicate efforts to accurately account for how the absentee ballot application process impacts Ohio voters.

Voters also may request ballots multiple times, either to correct an earlier error or because of confusion over multiple election mailings, an issue in the 2020 general election. Eye on Ohio found that in the spring at least 13,067 Ohio voters applied twice for a ballot for the presidential primary, and 34 people applied for a ballot three times.

It鈥檚 also unclear from the available data how many voters applied for mail-in ballots, were unable to get one, and voted in person. That number likely is small, at least for the 2020 primary, because in-person voting was extremely limited.

Questions of fairness

In a closely watched presidential election, the lack of consistency could lead to a contested outcome, similar to the 2000 presidential election, in which 鈥渉anging chads鈥 put the outcome of the election in the hands of the U.S. Supreme Court.

Legal challenges related have already been mounted, including a filed in July by the League of Women Voters of Ohio and the A. Philip Randolph Institute over what the groups called a 鈥渇lawed system鈥 of matching voter signatures on ballot applications and ballots that led to both being rejected during the primary.

Attorneys for the American Civil Liberties Union of Ohio, which is handling the lawsuit, have asked a federal judge to declare the current signature matching process unconstitutional and to order the state to stop using the process until a fair and uniform process can be put in place.

In late August, the ACLU filed a request for a preliminary that would require voters to be notified by mail or phone of problems with signatures on their applications or ballots. And for voters to be given more time to 鈥渃ure鈥 any potential issues with signature matches on applications and ballots.

The lawsuit cites an by Alexander Street, a Montana-based political science professor who conducts statistical research on voter data. Street was hired to analyze county-level information on both mail-in ballots and applications.

Street鈥檚 analysis, though limited to signature matching issues, found that absentee ballot applications were likely rejected at an even higher rate than absentee ballots cast by voters, creating an extra layer that 鈥渨ill impose the burden of resolving the problem on the would-be voter.鈥

Butler County rejected primary absentee ballots
Eye on Ohio
Butler County rejected primary absentee ballots

Street鈥檚 analysis of county-level records, he said, revealed that 鈥渕uch like an iceberg, this previously hidden layer is much bigger than the layer which was already visible.鈥

Like Eye on Ohio鈥檚 analysis, Street鈥檚 results were limited by data counties provided, which he deemed 鈥渙ften opaque, inconsistent and incomplete.鈥

Street estimated boards rejected at least 10,038 absentee ballot applications based on 鈥渟ignature issues鈥 alone in federal elections dating back to 2016.

A to the injunction request, filed on behalf of LaRose, called the signature matching issue 鈥渢rivial.鈥

It cannot be emphasized enough that the failure to submit a valid absentee-ballot application does not disenfranchise any voter鈥攖he voter will simply have to vote in person. Considering all voting opportunities available, matching signatures on absentee-ballot applications results in no burden at all on voting,鈥 the Ohio Attorney General鈥檚 office, which represents LaRose, said in a response filed on Sept. 12.

The response estimated a total of 217 ballots rejected for signature mismatches in the 2020 primary election. The response did not estimate how many applications were rejected because of problems with signatures.

that the signature matching poses a 鈥渕oderate鈥 burden but not enough to strike down practice as illegal, which could be viewed as 鈥減articularly damaging鈥 so close to the Nov. 3 election.

Eye on Ohio was unable to fully account for the number of absentee ballot applications that counties rejected because of signature mismatches. That鈥檚 in part because not all counties tracked reasons for rejections. In some cases, counties used a single column in a spreadsheet to make notes about errors with both applications and ballots.

Cuyahoga County rejected absentee ballot applications
Eye on Ohio
Cuyahoga County rejected absentee ballot applications

Athens, Carroll, Clark, Clinton, Fayette, Hardin, Jackson, Lucas, Montgomery, Perry, Pickaway, Seneca, Shelby, and Warren counties together had 455 labeled 鈥渟ig issue鈥; Cuyahoga had 598 tagged as 鈥渟ig invalid鈥; Ashland labeled two 鈥渟ignature no compares鈥; Huron had nine 鈥渟ignature miscompares.鈥 The number is likely higher since only 19 counties provided applications that specifically cited an incorrect signature problem. Also some counties labeled their applications as simply, 鈥減roblem,鈥 鈥渋ncorrect,鈥 鈥渁pplication rejected,鈥 or something similar.

Signatures that appear not to match are just one of more than 17 reasons listed in county-level records for rejecting applications

Eye on Ohio鈥檚 review of the available application rejection data supplied by counties showed that in the 2020 primary election the most common reason, by far, that applications were rejected was that voters didn鈥檛 check a box stating which political party (or nonpartisan) ballot they wanted. The next most common mistake was an incorrect birth date.

One reason that examining ballot application rejections could matter, is to see whether voters are being treated differently across the state.

The signature mismatch lawsuit argues that voters should not be 鈥渟ubject to the whims of different county election officials when it comes to their fundamental right to vote.鈥

Different treatment that could affect whether voters get to cast a ballot or whether a ballot is counted is a violation of a clause of the U.S. Constitution, which provides equal protection and that people in similar situations be treated equally under the law, according to the lawsuit.

鈥淚t鈥檚 the law that when it comes to voting you have to have the same opportunity as other voters, Freda Levenson, legal director for the ACLU of Ohio, said, 鈥淵ou can鈥檛 be favored or disfavored.鈥

The record-keeping at the county level is 鈥渟imply inadequate鈥 making it impossible to know the true extent of any issue,鈥 said Levenson, whose own application for a primary ballot in Cuyahoga County was initially rejected because officials didn鈥檛 think the signature on her application matched the one on her voter registration. She was able to fix the problem in time and cast a vote.

鈥淏ut that is not the case for all citizens,鈥 she said.

Data headaches aren鈥檛 new

This isn鈥檛 the first time Ohio鈥檚 maddening lack of standardization has stymied watchdogs or election-watchers from understanding the effect of Ohio鈥檚 ballot application process.

The Associated Press The news service reported that many counties could not say how many applications were rejected, and others didn鈥檛 track the reasons for rejections they did log.

Still, the investigation found that more than 7,000 applications for ballots were rejected in an election where far fewer voters relied on mail-in ballots.

The Stanford-MIT Healthy Elections Project said it could not analyze the reasons that Ohio absentee ballot applications were rejected because not enough information was available.

The project, led by professors from Stanford and MIT, was launched to ensure the 2020 election could 鈥減roceed with integrity, safety, and equal access,鈥 according to its website.

Collecting accurate, consistent and comparable data would benefit efforts to improve the election process and to enfranchise voters, said Steven Huefner, an Ohio State University law professor and election law expert.

Researchers who study political science and elections administration, legal issues related to voting, and legislative decision-making all are desperate for better data to rely on to better understand how the current mail-in voting system works and what reforms might help.

鈥淭hat can鈥檛 happen until we know where the real gaps are or where people are typically falling down,鈥 Huefner said.

Rachel Dissell
Lucia Walinchus is an award-winning journalist, attorney and ice hockey addict. She is currently the Executive Director at Eye on Ohio, the Ohio Center for Investigative Journalism.
Jeff St. Clair is the midday host for 海角破解版.