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A of likely voters from Baldwin Wallace University found a statistical tie in the presidential race in Ohio, a tightening race in Pennsylvania and substantial leads for Democrat Joe Biden in Michigan and Wisconsin.

Donald Trump won all four states in 2016.

In Ohio, 44.9 percent favored Biden while 44.3 went for Trump, with 7 percent of those polled remaining undecided.

The Baldwin Wallace findings for Ohio match up with , which has Trump up by one point and has shown a close race since March

Baldwin Wallace political science professor Tom Sutton said Wisconsin and Michigan appear to be pulling away in favor of Biden.

鈥淭here鈥檚 some effect, we think, related to the protests and demonstrations over the George Floyd killing and other situations over the summer which may be affecting these poll results as well,鈥� Sutton said.

Voters in Michigan and Wisconsin who said the protests over the killing of George Floyd would affect their vote also favored Biden over Trump -- by as much as 6 points in Michigan and 3 points in Wisconsin.

Trump appears to be , where Biden has a 4-point lead in the polling average 鈥� within the poll鈥� 3-4 percent margin of error for the four states 鈥� after seeing as much as an 8-point advantage in the summer.

Biden appears to also be leading among voters who describe themselves as moderate or independent, Sutton said. Trump鈥檚 campaign had tried to paint Biden as .

鈥淲hether it鈥檚 because of or the progressive agenda or the possibilities of changes in that might lead to different groups into your neighborhood, quote-unquote, who threaten your neighborhood鈥� said Sutton. 鈥淪ome of that is just very veiled language that is intended to scare and polarize. And I don鈥檛 think it鈥檚 working.鈥�

The online poll of about 1,000 likely voters in each of the four states was conducted between Sept. 8 and Sept. 22, mostly before U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg鈥檚 Sept. 18 death and the announcement that Republicans in the Senate would seek to confirm her replacement before the end of the year.

鈥淗er death and replacement is something that鈥檚 going to galvanize voters on both sides,鈥� Sutton said. 鈥淲e鈥檙e going to see renewed attention to that as an issue for voters who haven鈥檛 already cast a vote.鈥�